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2024-12-13 12:03:15

It can be said that after yesterday's close, most investors are pessimistic about today's market. Because new investors will associate it with the sharp opening and closing on October 8th, while old investors will be scared by the trend of peripheral China assets last night, and then they will have pessimistic expectations for today's market. However, what everyone didn't expect was that the performance of the whole market was fairly stable today. The market stood firm on the fifth line all day and remained slightly red. Although it was smashed green twice in the session, it was pulled up in an instant, giving people a feeling that they can't fall if they want to fall!The core here refers to the policy background, the market trend before and after, and the actions of the national team when three times of high opening and low going appeared. In particular, the support action of the national team will have a great impact on the short-term trend of the whole market. This is because funds can determine the short-term trend of the market to a greater extent, while fundamentals can determine the medium-and long-term trend of the market to a greater extent.Finally, Jun Ge will talk about the latest changes in the internal structure of the market!


In addition, there is a group of people who were the main force of yesterday's pressure plate, that is, retail investors who suffered a big loss on October 8. This part of the investors have been convinced that yesterday's sharp opening will inevitably lead to a high opening and a low going, so they were selling at the opening yesterday. Some hesitant investors may have missed the high-selling opportunity opened yesterday, but they saw the unilateral decline of the market in intraday trading, which is replicating the trend of October 8. Worried that there will be a sharp drop in the next few days, I began to turn around and lighten my position.First, compared with any other funds, the national team is more familiar with the macro-adjustment strategy of the top level, and enters the market accurately before the Politburo meeting, mostly knowing that there will be great benefits at the meeting. Therefore, entering the venue last Friday can avoid chasing after the meeting, which has a greater cost advantage!In this regard, Jun Ge wants to remind everyone that there are many kinds of market funds, including the national team, main funds and ordinary retail investors. Among these three categories, they are also divided into several sub-categories. For example, the funds with the background of Chinese characters include Huijin, insurance, social security and pension. The main funds are more, which can be divided into public offering, private placement, hot money, trust, brokerage self-operated, foreign-funded institutions and so on; Even retail investors should be divided into large households and ordinary retail investors.


So yesterday, the market opened higher and went lower. Is it really big money that is smashing the market? This can actually be seen from yesterday's transaction data. In this morning's [A-share news], Brother Jun analyzed in detail the position adjustment actions of institutions and hot money seats yesterday. Although yesterday's institutional funds did have a moderate net outflow, the outflow of institutional funds was only due to the decrease in buying, not the release of selling.If institutions and hot money are not the main force of yesterday's smashing, how did yesterday's high opening and low walking form?Then why is this trend happening? Many investors may think that yesterday's A shares opened higher and went lower under the favorable stimulus of the Politburo meeting, which is very similar to last year's 828 market and the trend on October 8 this year. But in your brother's view, these three false yin lines are just similar in shape, but the cores are not the same.

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